Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.322074 0.376817 0.440313 0.519951 0.617932 0.735535 0.888875
2025-07-27 0.248049 0.319412 0.412760 0.546318 0.736725 1.005175 1.425002
2025-08-03 0.203938 0.281414 0.392146 0.567439 0.848776 1.303296 2.140497
2025-08-10 0.171887 0.249899 0.369239 0.573934 0.936068 1.593658 2.998668
2025-08-17 0.148340 0.224907 0.348704 0.575765 1.012647 1.893410 4.057175
2025-08-24 0.129688 0.203559 0.328646 0.571581 1.074680 2.189706 5.317321
2025-08-31 0.114241 0.184598 0.308488 0.561270 1.119877 2.469350 6.763387
2025-09-07 0.105166 0.174980 0.302898 0.577563 1.227659 2.952759 9.291849
2025-09-14 0.094354 0.160546 0.285605 0.565092 1.263966 3.267578 11.602783
2025-09-21 0.087125 0.151669 0.277518 0.570742 1.348009 3.772392 15.391930
2025-09-28 0.080270 0.142552 0.267402 0.569314 1.413160 4.260679 19.936482
2025-10-05 0.076018 0.137941 0.265875 0.588191 1.544343 5.078039 28.105582
2025-10-12 0.071894 0.133188 0.263570 0.605534 1.682259 6.053002 40.311297
2025-10-19 0.067963 0.128363 0.260413 0.620281 1.820887 7.174854 58.285129
2025-10-26 0.064750 0.124650 0.259221 0.640386 1.989888 8.638375 88.044193
2025-11-02 0.061057 0.119444 0.253683 0.646709 2.112410 10.012551 127.263287
2025-11-09 0.057503 0.114141 0.247123 0.648512 2.219943 11.455856 183.066930
2025-11-16 0.053979 0.108522 0.238982 0.643590 2.298801 12.842319 258.033965
2025-11-23 0.050483 0.102614 0.229313 0.631653 2.342688 14.065265 352.995564
2025-11-30 0.048634 0.100351 0.228841 0.650480 2.544454 16.968423 605.809566
2025-12-07 0.045599 0.094975 0.219354 0.636061 2.574824 18.409052 848.096233
2025-12-14 0.043621 0.091959 0.215913 0.642592 2.722085 21.396139 1440.178323
2025-12-21 0.041507 0.088411 0.210545 0.640941 2.825988 24.209107 2388.756410